Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction & Preview

Burnley face Manchester City in the Premier League. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Burnley: 13%, Draw: 17%, Manchester City: 70%. Predicted scoreline: 1–2 (confidence 70%).

The model favours Manchester City (70%) away: they create 2.4 goals/game and Burnley are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.0–2.5.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Sander Berge (Fulham)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 37 games); Assists 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games).

Mohamed Zeki Amdouni (Burnley)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Jacob Bruun Larsen (TSG Hoffenheim)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Goals 0.5: 86% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 61% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Victor Alexander da Silva (Burnley)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Assists 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Erling Håland (Manchester City)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 31 games); Assists 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 85% over (projected 1.9, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Mateo Kovačić (Manchester City)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 30 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 30 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 30 games).

Charlie Taylor (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games); Assists 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games).

Johann Berg Guðmunds­son (Burnley)

Goals 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 26 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 26 games); Assists 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 26 games).

See full Burnley vs Manchester City predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.