Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Preview

Burnley face Chelsea in the Premier League. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Burnley: 36%, Draw: 22%, Chelsea: 42%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 42%).

The model favours Chelsea (43%) away: they create 1.8 goals/game and Burnley are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.9.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Sander Berge (Fulham)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 37 games); Assists 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games).

Moisés Isaac Caicedo Corozo (Chelsea)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Assists 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 35 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 35 games).

Mohamed Zeki Amdouni (Burnley)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Jacob Bruun Larsen (TSG Hoffenheim)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Goals 0.5: 86% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 61% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Victor Alexander da Silva (Burnley)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Assists 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Thiago Emiliano da Silva (Chelsea)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 31 games); Goals 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Charlie Taylor (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games); Assists 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games).

Johann Berg Guðmunds­son (Burnley)

Goals 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 26 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 26 games); Assists 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 26 games).

See full Burnley vs Chelsea predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.