Atlético de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Preview

Atlético de Madrid face Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Atlético de Madrid: 36%, Draw: 31%, Rayo Vallecano: 33%. Predicted scoreline: 1–0 (confidence 36%).

The model favours Atlético de Madrid (37%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game but Rayo Vallecano defend well (0.6 conceded/game), which tempers the edge. With home advantage, projected around 1.0–1.0.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Adrián Embarba Blázquez (Rayo Vallecano)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 35 games).

Josep María Chavarría Pérez (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo (Rayo Vallecano)

Shots on Target 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 86% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Pathé Ciss (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Jorge Resurrección Merodio (Atlético de Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Unai López Cabrera (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Goals 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 76% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Antoine Griezmann (Atlético de Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Goals 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano)

Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games); Assists 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 37 games).

See full Atlético de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.