Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg Forecast & Player Props

Borussia Dortmund face FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. The calls our model is prepared to make on this match, each with the confidence and risk level behind it.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Borussia Dortmund: 80%, Draw: 13%, FC Augsburg: 7%. Predicted scoreline: 2–0 (confidence 80%).

The model favours Borussia Dortmund (81%) at home: they create 2.0 goals/game and FC Augsburg are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.7–0.7.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Jeffrey Gouweleeuw — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 97%, LOW risk, from 33 matches.

Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (FC Augsburg) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 33 apps; UNDER 0.5 (97%).

Gregor Kobel — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 97%, LOW risk, from 32 matches.

Gregor Kobel (Borussia Dortmund) averaging 0.03 yellow card/game over 32 apps; UNDER 0.5 (97%).

Marius Wolf — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 97%, LOW risk, from 32 matches.

Marius Wolf (FC Augsburg) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 32 apps; UNDER 0.5 (97%).

Ramy Bensebaini — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 97%, LOW risk, from 31 matches.

Ramy Bensebaini (Borussia Dortmund) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 31 apps; UNDER 0.5 (97%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.81, confidence 80%, LOW risk.

Model favours HOME with 81% probability based on season goals form.

Team Prop

FC Augsburg — UNDER (team_goals 1.5), projected 1, confidence 74%, LOW risk, from 34 matches.

FC Augsburg projected 1.00 goals/game (SeasonStats, n=34); UNDER 1.5 (74%).

FC Augsburg — OVER (team_yellow_cards 1.5), projected 2.26, confidence 66%, MEDIUM risk, from 34 matches.

FC Augsburg projected 2.26 yellow cards/game (SeasonStats, n=34); OVER 1.5 (66%).

Borussia Dortmund — OVER (team_yellow_cards 1.5), projected 2.19, confidence 64%, MEDIUM risk, from 32 matches.

Borussia Dortmund projected 2.19 yellow cards/game (SeasonStats, n=32); OVER 1.5 (64%).

Borussia Dortmund — OVER (team_goals 1.5), projected 2, confidence 59%, MEDIUM risk, from 32 matches.

Borussia Dortmund projected 2.00 goals/game (SeasonStats, n=32); OVER 1.5 (59%).

Each call carries its own confidence and risk level rather than a single headline number. See the Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg score prediction for the market ladders these are drawn from.