Derby County vs Watford Prediction & Preview

Derby County face Watford in the Championship. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Derby County: 48%, Draw: 26%, Watford: 26%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 48%).

The model favours Derby County (48%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Watford's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.0.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Luca Kjerrumgaard (Udinese)

Assists 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 43 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 43 games); Goals 0.5: 79% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 43 games).

Joe Ward (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dion Sanderson (Blackburn Rovers)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Matthew Pollock (Watford)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 35 games).

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 86% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Jacob Widell Zetterström (Derby County)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

James Abankwah (Udinese)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 31 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Rhian Brewster (Sheffield United)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 29 games); Assists 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 29 games).

See full Derby County vs Watford predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.