Derby County vs Leicester City Prediction & Preview

Derby County face Leicester City in the Championship. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Derby County: 48%, Draw: 25%, Leicester City: 26%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 48%).

The model favours Derby County (48%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Leicester City's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.6–1.1.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Luke Thomas (Leicester City)

Goals 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 43 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 43 games); Assists 0.5: 87% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 43 games).

Stephy Alvaro Mavididi (Leicester City)

Assists 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 42 games); Goals 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 42 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 42 games).

Joe Ward (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dion Sanderson (Blackburn Rovers)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Ricardo Domingos Barbosa Pereira (Leicester City)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Jakub Stolarczyk (Leicester City)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Oliver Skipp (Leicester City)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 86% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Harry Winks (Cagliari)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Assists 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games).

See full Derby County vs Leicester City predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.