Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Preview

Derby County face Middlesbrough in the Championship. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Derby County: 44%, Draw: 25%, Middlesbrough: 30%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 44%).

The model favours Derby County (44%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Middlesbrough's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.2.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Solomon Brynn (Middlesbrough)

Assists 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 49 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 49 games).

Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)

Goals 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 46 games); Assists 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 46 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 46 games).

Joe Ward (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dion Sanderson (Blackburn Rovers)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dávid Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Goals 0.5: 80% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 35 games).

Jacob Widell Zetterström (Derby County)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Dael Fry (Birmingham City)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Goals 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 80% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Rhian Brewster (Sheffield United)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 29 games); Assists 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 29 games).

See full Derby County vs Middlesbrough predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.