Derby County vs Birmingham City Prediction & Preview

Derby County face Birmingham City in the Championship. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Derby County: 47%, Draw: 26%, Birmingham City: 27%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 47%).

The model favours Derby County (47%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Birmingham City's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.1.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham City)

Assists 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 45 games); Goals 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 45 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 45 games).

Seung-Ho Paik (Birmingham City)

Assists 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 43 games); Goals 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 43 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 87% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 43 games).

Joe Ward (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dion Sanderson (Blackburn Rovers)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Thomas Doyle (Birmingham City)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Jacob Widell Zetterström (Derby County)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Rhian Brewster (Sheffield United)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 29 games); Assists 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 29 games).

Kyogo Furuhashi (Rennes)

Goals 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 28 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 72% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 28 games).

See full Derby County vs Birmingham City predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.