St. Pauli 1–2 FSV Mainz 05: Result & Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 beat St. Pauli 2–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Joel Chima Fujita — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 32 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Eric Anders Smith — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Eric Anders Smith (St. Pauli) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 32 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Eric Anders Smith — UNDER (player_assists 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Eric Anders Smith (St. Pauli) averaging 0.03 assists/game over 32 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Arkadiusz Pyrka — UNDER (player_assists 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 31 matchs.

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli) averaging 0.03 assists/game over 31 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Team Prop

St. Pauli — UNDER (team_goals 1.5), projected 0.74, confidence 83%, LOW risk, from 34 matchs.

St. Pauli projected 0.74 goals/game (SeasonStats, n=34); UNDER 1.5 (83%).

St. Pauli — PASS (team_yellow_cards 1.5), projected 1.59, confidence 53%, HIGH risk, from 34 matchs.

No clear edge on St. Pauli Yellow Cards 1.5 line (53% — SeasonStats, n=34).

Match Result

Match Result — PASS (match_result), projected 0.54, confidence 54%, HIGH risk.

No clear match result edge (54% for AWAY).

Explore

St. Pauli stats & form · FSV Mainz 05 stats & form · Bundesliga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.