Lens 1–0 Nantes: Result & Analysis

Lens beat Nantes 1–0 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Matthieu Udol — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 34 matchs.

Matthieu Udol (Lens) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 34 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Robin François Philippe Risser Birckel — UNDER (player_assists 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 33 matchs.

Robin François Philippe Risser Birckel (Lens) averaging 0.03 assists/game over 33 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Odsonne Édouard — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.35, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 29 matchs.

Odsonne Édouard (Lens) averaging 0.34 tackles/game over 29 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Odsonne Édouard — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 29 matchs.

Odsonne Édouard (Lens) averaging 0.03 yellow card/game over 29 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Team Prop

Nantes — UNDER (team_goals 1.5), projected 0.82, confidence 80%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Nantes projected 0.82 goals/game (SeasonStats, n=32); UNDER 1.5 (80%).

Nantes — OVER (team_yellow_cards 1.5), projected 2, confidence 59%, MEDIUM risk, from 32 matchs.

Nantes projected 2.00 yellow cards/game (SeasonStats, n=32); OVER 1.5 (59%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.73, confidence 73%, LOW risk.

Model favours HOME with 73% probability based on season goals form.

Explore

Lens stats & form · Nantes stats & form · Ligue 1 predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Lens vs Nantes: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every Lens vs Nantes call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.