Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés Odds Analysis

Villarreal face Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga. This page sets our statistical model against the bookmaker price with the margin removed, market by market, so you can see where the two views part company.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Villarreal: 63%, Draw: 20%, Deportivo Alavés: 17%. Predicted scoreline: 2–0 (confidence 63%).

The model favours Villarreal (63%) at home: they create 1.7 goals/game against Deportivo Alavés's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.1–1.0.

Every Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés market we can price is listed above with the de-vigged implied probability beside our model's number. For information and entertainment only.