Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina: Result & Analysis

Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Morten Frendrup (Genoa)

Shots 1.5: 98% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 36 games); Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal (Fiorentina)

Tackles 1.5: 98% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 9 games); Assists 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 9 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 9 games).

Sebastian Otoa (Genoa)

Shots 1.5: 98% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 13 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 13 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 86% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 13 games).

David de Gea Quintana (Fiorentina)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 37 games).

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Genoa)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra (Genoa)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 36 games); Shots 1.5: 86% under (projected 0.7, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Luca Ranieri (Fiorentina)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots 1.5: 90% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Leo Skiri Oestigaard (Genoa)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 30 games); Goals 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 30 games); Shots 1.5: 83% under (projected 0.7, SeasonStats over 30 games).

Explore

Genoa stats & form · Fiorentina stats & form · Serie A predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Genoa vs Fiorentina: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Genoa vs Fiorentina call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.