Burnley vs Wrexham Odds Analysis

Burnley face Wrexham in the Championship. This page sets our statistical model against the bookmaker price with the margin removed, market by market, so you can see where the two views part company.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Burnley: 25%, Draw: 27%, Wrexham: 48%. Predicted scoreline: 0–1 (confidence 48%).

The model favours Wrexham (48%) away: they create 1.3 goals/game and Burnley are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.4.

Every Burnley vs Wrexham market we can price is listed above with the de-vigged implied probability beside our model's number. For information and entertainment only.