Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction & Preview

Middlesbrough face Derby County in the Championship. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Middlesbrough: 45%, Draw: 26%, Derby County: 30%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 45%).

The model favours Middlesbrough (45%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Derby County's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.2.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Solomon Brynn (Middlesbrough)

Assists 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 49 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 49 games).

Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)

Goals 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 46 games); Assists 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 46 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 46 games).

Jerry Yates (Swansea City)

Yellow Card 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 42 games); Assists 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 42 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 42 games).

Joe Ward (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dion Sanderson (Blackburn Rovers)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dávid Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Goals 0.5: 80% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 35 games).

Kane Wilson (Derby County)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 76% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Anfernee Dijksteel (Middlesbrough)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games).

See full Middlesbrough vs Derby County predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.