Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Renato Palma Veiga — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.28, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 32 matchs.

Renato Palma Veiga (Villarreal) averaging 0.28 shots/game over 32 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Sergi Cardona Bermúdez — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 31 matchs.

Sergi Cardona Bermúdez (Villarreal) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 31 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Pau Navarro Badenes — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.09, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 23 matchs.

Pau Navarro Badenes (Villarreal) averaging 0.09 shots/game over 23 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Juan Marcos Foyth — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.15, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 13 matchs.

Juan Marcos Foyth (Villarreal) averaging 0.15 shots/game over 13 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.67, confidence 67%, MEDIUM risk.

Model favours HOME with 67% probability based on season goals form.

Explore

Real Madrid stats & form · Villarreal stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every Real Madrid vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.