Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid: Result & Analysis

Atlético de Madrid beat Real Madrid 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots 1.5: 95% over (projected 4.7, SeasonStats over 31 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

João Lucas de Souza Cardoso (Atlético de Madrid)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 15 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 72% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 15 games); Tackles 1.5: 71% over (projected 2.5, SeasonStats over 15 games).

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Assists 0.5: 76% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Jonathan David (Atlético de Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 97% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 7 games); Assists 0.5: 75% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 7 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 72% over (projected 1.3, SeasonStats over 7 games).

M. Pubill Pagès (Atlético de Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 19 games); Assists 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 19 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 19 games).

Giuliano Simeone (Atlético de Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Goals 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Assists 0.5: 82% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Dávid Hancko (Atlético de Madrid)

Assists 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 30 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 30 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 30 games).

Explore

Atlético de Madrid stats & form · Real Madrid stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.