Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Preview

Real Madrid face Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Real Madrid: 42%, Draw: 30%, Rayo Vallecano: 27%. Predicted scoreline: 1–0 (confidence 42%).

The model favours Real Madrid (42%) at home: they create 1.8 goals/game but Rayo Vallecano defend well (0.6 conceded/game), which tempers the edge. With home advantage, projected around 1.1–0.9.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 36 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 82% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Jorge De Frutos Sebastián (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 36 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 36 games); Goals 0.5: 78% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 36 games).

Adrián Embarba Blázquez (Rayo Vallecano)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 35 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 35 games).

Pedro Díaz Fanjul (Rayo Vallecano)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Assists 0.5: 76% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo (Rayo Vallecano)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Josep María Chavarría Pérez (Rayo Vallecano)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Assists 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games).

See full Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.