Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 4–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 6% at 15.00, model 6%.

Draw — market 11% at 8.50, model 14%.

Home — market 83% at 1.12, model 80%.

Double Chance

Draw or Rayo Vallecano — market 16% at 6.00, model 20%.

Real Madrid or Draw — market 94% at 1.03, model 94%.

Real Madrid or Rayo Vallecano — market 90% at 1.08, model 86%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 93% at 1.04, model 93%.

2 — market 7% at 13.00, model 7%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 53% at 1.75, model 62%.

Yes — market 47% at 2.00, model 38%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 73% at 1.30, model 59%.

Under — market 27% at 3.50, model 41%.

Explore

Real Madrid stats & form · Rayo Vallecano stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.