Atlético de Madrid 2–2 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Atlético de Madrid and Villarreal drew 2–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 23% at 4.10, model 22%.

Draw — market 25% at 3.80, model 29%.

Home — market 52% at 1.80, model 49%.

Double Chance

Atletico Madrid or Draw — market 77% at 1.22, model 78%.

Atletico Madrid or Villarreal — market 75% at 1.25, model 71%.

Draw or Villarreal — market 48% at 1.95, model 51%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 71% at 1.33, model 69%.

2 — market 29% at 3.25, model 31%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 42% at 2.20, model 62%.

Yes — market 58% at 1.61, model 38%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 57% at 1.66, model 34%.

Under — market 43% at 2.20, model 66%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 22% at 4.00.

6 - 8 — market 25% at 3.50.

9 - 11 — market 34% at 2.60.

Over 14 — market 11% at 8.00.

Explore

Atlético de Madrid stats & form · Villarreal stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.