Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 32% at 3.00, model 36%.

Draw — market 33% at 2.87, model 26%.

Home — market 35% at 2.70, model 38%.

Double Chance

Draw or Rayo Vallecano — market 61% at 1.53, model 62%.

Sevilla or Draw — market 70% at 1.33, model 64%.

Sevilla or Rayo Vallecano — market 69% at 1.36, model 74%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 56% at 1.66, model 52%.

2 — market 44% at 2.10, model 48%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 52% at 1.80, model 46%.

Yes — market 48% at 1.95, model 54%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 40% at 2.37, model 50%.

Under — market 60% at 1.57, model 50%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 20% at 4.50.

6 - 8 — market 29% at 3.10.

9 - 11 — market 34% at 2.60.

Over 14 — market 8% at 11.00.

Explore

Sevilla stats & form · Rayo Vallecano stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.