TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund: Result & Analysis

Borussia Dortmund beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 39% at 2.40, model 41%.

Draw — market 25% at 3.75, model 23%.

Home — market 36% at 2.55, model 36%.

Double Chance

Draw or Borussia Dortmund — market 63% at 1.50, model 64%.

TSG Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund — market 75% at 1.25, model 77%.

TSG Hoffenheim or Draw — market 62% at 1.53, model 59%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 49% at 1.90, model 47%.

2 — market 51% at 1.80, model 53%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 34% at 2.75, model 34%.

Yes — market 66% at 1.40, model 66%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 64% at 1.50, model 66%.

Under — market 36% at 2.62, model 34%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 20% at 4.33.

6 - 8 — market 28% at 3.10.

9 - 11 — market 34% at 2.62.

Over 14 — market 9% at 10.00.

Explore

TSG Hoffenheim stats & form · Borussia Dortmund stats & form · Bundesliga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.