AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta: Result & Analysis
AC Milan beat Atalanta 3–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — AC Milan: 69%, Draw: 16%, Atalanta: 15%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 69%).
The model favours AC Milan (69%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game and Atalanta are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.8–1.3.
Head to Head
AC Milan and Atalanta have met 5 times in the records we hold.
18 Oct 2026 — AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta (2026/2027).
Scorers: Adrien Rabiot 43', Mario Gila 57', Gianluca Gaetano 66', Nikola Krstović 81'.
10 May 2026 — AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta (2025/2026).
Scorers: Éderson 7', Davide Zappacosta 29', Giacomo Raspadori 51', Strahinja Pavlović 88'.
28 Oct 2025 — Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan (2025/2026).
Scorers: Samuele Ricci 4', Ademola Lookman 35'.
20 Apr 2025 — AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta (2024/2025).
6 Dec 2024 — Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Atalanta hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with AC Milan winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on AC Milan vs Atalanta: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every AC Milan vs Atalanta call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.