Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari: Result & Analysis

Cagliari beat Atalanta 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Atalanta: 67%, Draw: 18%, Cagliari: 15%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 67%).

The model favours Atalanta (67%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Cagliari are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.4–1.1.

Head to Head

Atalanta and Cagliari have met 5 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari (2026/2027).

Scorers: Paul Mendy 19', Gianluca Scamacca 41'.

27 Apr 2026 — Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta (2025/2026).

Scorers: Paul Mendy  1', Paul Mendy  8', Gianluca Scamacca 40', Gianluca Scamacca 45'.

13 Dec 2025 — Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari (2025/2026).

Scorers: Gianluca Scamacca 11', Gianluca Gaetano 75', Gianluca Scamacca 81'.

15 Feb 2025 — Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari (2024/2025).

14 Dec 2024 — Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Atalanta winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Atalanta vs Cagliari: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Atalanta vs Cagliari call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.