Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo: Result & Analysis

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Atalanta: 69%, Draw: 15%, Sassuolo: 16%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 69%).

The model favours Atalanta (69%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Sassuolo are leaking goals (2.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.9–1.4.

Head to Head

Atalanta and Sassuolo have met 3 times in the records we hold.

23 Aug 2026 — Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo (2026/2027).

Scorers: Giacomo Raspadori 6', Cas Odenthal 55', Nikola Krstović 65'.

1 Mar 2026 — Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ismaël Koné 23', Kristian Thorstvedt 69', Yunus Musah 88'.

9 Nov 2025 — Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo (2025/2026).

Scorers: Andrea Pinamonti 47', Domenico Berardi 66'.

Over the last 3 meetings Sassuolo hold the edge (1W · 0D · 2L), with Atalanta winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Atalanta vs Sassuolo: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Atalanta vs Sassuolo call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.