Athletic Club 3–0 Atlético de Madrid: Result & Analysis
Athletic Club beat Atlético de Madrid 3–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Athletic Club: 32%, Draw: 32%, Atlético de Madrid: 36%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 36%).
The model favours Atlético de Madrid (36%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game against Athletic Club's 1.0 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.0.
Head to Head
Athletic Club and Atlético de Madrid have met 5 times in the records we hold.
5 Sep 2026 — Athletic Club 3–0 Atlético de Madrid (2026/2027).
Scorers: Nico Williams 46', Robert Navarro 48', Oihan Sancet 90'.
25 Apr 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 3–2 Athletic Club (2025/2026).
Scorers: Aitor Paredes 23', Antoine Griezmann 49', Alexander Sørloth 54', Gorka Guruzeta 90'.
6 Dec 2025 — Athletic Club 1–0 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).
Scorers: Álex Berenguer 85'.
1 Mar 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club (2024/2025).
Scorers: Julián Alvarez 66'.
31 Aug 2024 — Athletic Club 0–1 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).
Scorers: Ángel Correa 90'.
Over the last 5 meetings Atlético de Madrid hold the edge (2W · 0D · 3L), with Athletic Club winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Explore
More on Athletic Club vs Atlético de Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Athletic Club vs Atlético de Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.