Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla: Result & Analysis

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Athletic Club: 64%, Draw: 21%, Sevilla: 15%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 64%).

The model favours Athletic Club (64%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game and Sevilla are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.9–0.8.

Head to Head

Athletic Club and Sevilla have met 5 times in the records we hold.

22 Aug 2026 — Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla (2026/2027).

Scorers: Oso 15', Chidera Ejuke 50', Isaac Romero 57', Isaac Romero 57'.

24 Jan 2026 — Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Club (2025/2026).

Scorers: Robert Navarro 40', Peque Fernández 42'.

17 Aug 2025 — Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla (2025/2026).

Scorers: Maroan Sannadi 43', Dodi Lukébakio 60', Lucien Agoumé 72', Robert Navarro 81'.

16 Mar 2025 — Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club (2024/2025).

Scorers: Yeray Álvarez 84'.

29 Sep 2024 — Athletic Club 1–1 Sevilla (2024/2025).

Scorers: Mikel Jauregizar 36', Álex Padilla 90'.

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Athletic Club winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Athletic Club vs Sevilla: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Athletic Club vs Sevilla call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.