Atlético de Madrid 1–2 FC Barcelona: Result & Analysis
FC Barcelona beat Atlético de Madrid 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Atlético de Madrid: 31%, Draw: 24%, FC Barcelona: 45%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 45%).
The model favours FC Barcelona (45%) away: they create 3.0 goals/game but Atlético de Madrid defend well (0.9 conceded/game), which tempers the edge. With home advantage, projected around 1.4–1.7.
Head to Head
Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona have met 5 times in the records we hold.
8 Nov 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 1–2 FC Barcelona (2026/2027).
Scorers: Giuliano Simeone 10', Fermín López 45', Fermín López 66'.
4 Apr 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 1–2 FC Barcelona (2025/2026).
Scorers: Giuliano Simeone 39', Marcus Rashford 42', Robert Lewandowski 87'.
2 Dec 2025 — FC Barcelona 3–1 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).
Scorers: Álex Baena 19', Raphinha 26', Dani Olmo 65', Ferran Torres 90'.
16 Mar 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 2–4 FC Barcelona (2024/2025).
Scorers: Julián Alvarez 45', Alexander Sørloth 70', Robert Lewandowski 72', Ferran Torres 78'.
21 Dec 2024 — FC Barcelona 1–2 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).
Scorers: Pedri 30', Rodrigo De Paul 60', Alexander Sørloth 90'.
Over the last 5 meetings FC Barcelona hold the edge (1W · 0D · 4L), with Atlético de Madrid winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.