Atlético de Madrid 4–0 Osasuna: Result & Analysis
Atlético de Madrid beat Osasuna 4–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Atlético de Madrid: 74%, Draw: 17%, Osasuna: 9%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 74%).
The model favours Atlético de Madrid (74%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game and Osasuna are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.3–0.7.
Head to Head
Atlético de Madrid and Osasuna have met 5 times in the records we hold.
16 Sep 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 4–0 Osasuna (2026/2027).
Scorers: Jonathan David 24', Kang-in Lee 54', Robin Le Normand 63', Álex Baena 82'.
12 May 2026 — Osasuna 1–2 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).
Scorers: Alexander Sørloth 71', Kike Barja 90'.
18 Oct 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Osasuna (2025/2026).
Scorers: Thiago Almada 69'.
15 May 2025 — Osasuna 2–0 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).
Scorers: Alejandro Catena 25', Ante Budimir 82'.
12 Jan 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Osasuna (2024/2025).
Scorers: Julián Alvarez 55'.
Over the last 5 meetings Atlético de Madrid hold the edge (4W · 0D · 1L), with Atlético de Madrid winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.
Explore
More on Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.