Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans: Result & Analysis

Auxerre and Le Mans drew 1–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Auxerre: 47%, Draw: 24%, Le Mans: 29%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 47%).

The model favours Auxerre (47%) at home: they create 1.2 goals/game and Le Mans are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.2.

Head to Head

Auxerre and Le Mans have met 1 times in the records we hold.

25 Oct 2026 — Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans (2026/2027).

Scorers: Lucas Buadés 48', Cameron Archer 56'.

Over the last 1 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (0W · 1D · 0L), with Auxerre winning 0 of 1 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Auxerre vs Le Mans: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Auxerre vs Le Mans call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.