Auxerre 2–2 Lens: Result & Analysis

Auxerre and Lens drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Auxerre: 18%, Draw: 19%, Lens: 63%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 63%).

The model favours Lens (63%) away: they create 1.8 goals/game and Auxerre are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.2–2.3.

Head to Head

Auxerre and Lens have met 5 times in the records we hold.

22 Aug 2026 — Lens 5–2 Auxerre (2026/2027).

Scorers: Franjo Ivanović 49', Saud Abdulhamid 54', Saud Abdulhamid 54', Ismaëlo Ganiou 66'.

17 Jan 2026 — Lens 1–0 Auxerre (2025/2026).

Scorers: Wesley Saïd  65'.

4 Oct 2025 — Auxerre 1–2 Lens (2025/2026).

Scorers: Odsonne Édouard 14', Francisco Sierralta 61', Abdallah Sima 90'.

27 Apr 2025 — Lens 0–4 Auxerre (2024/2025).

14 Dec 2024 — Auxerre 2–2 Lens (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Lens hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with Auxerre winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Auxerre vs Lens: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Auxerre vs Lens call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.