Auxerre 1–0 Nice: Result & Analysis

Auxerre beat Nice 1–0 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Auxerre: 25%, Draw: 21%, Nice: 54%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 54%).

The model favours Nice (54%) away: they create 1.7 goals/game and Auxerre are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.4–2.2.

Head to Head

Auxerre and Nice have met 5 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — Auxerre 1–0 Nice (2026/2027).

Scorers: Cameron Archer 74'.

10 May 2026 — Auxerre 2–1 Nice (2025/2026).

Scorers: Sofiane Diop 9', Sékou Mara 27', Lassine Sinayoko 70'.

23 Aug 2025 — Nice 3–1 Auxerre (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jérémie Boga 3', Lassine Sinayoko 21', Clément Akpa 24', Terem Moffi 76'.

14 Mar 2025 — Nice 1–1 Auxerre (2024/2025).

18 Aug 2024 — Auxerre 2–1 Nice (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Auxerre hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Auxerre winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Auxerre vs Nice: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Auxerre vs Nice call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.