Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg: Result & Analysis

FC Augsburg beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 71%, Draw: 13%, FC Augsburg: 16%. Predicted scoreline was 3–2 (confidence 71%).

The model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (71%) at home: they create 2.1 goals/game and FC Augsburg are leaking goals (2.2 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 3.9–2.1.

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Augsburg have met 5 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2026/2027).

Scorers: Christian Kofane 18', Michael Gregoritsch 50', Michael Gregoritsch 55', Patrik Schick 89'.

18 Apr 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg (2025/2026).

Scorers: Patrik Schick 12', Fabian Rieder 15'.

6 Dec 2025 — FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Dimitrios Giannoulis 6', Anton Kade 28'.

26 Apr 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg (2024/2025).

14 Dec 2024 — FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.