Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig: Result & Analysis

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat RB Leipzig 2–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 26%, Draw: 15%, RB Leipzig: 59%. Predicted scoreline was 2–3 (confidence 59%).

The model favours RB Leipzig (59%) away: they create 2.9 goals/game and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.6–3.7.

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and RB Leipzig have met 5 times in the records we hold.

20 Sep 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig (2026/2027).

Scorers: Christopher Nkunku 34', Patrik Schick 44', Miguel Gutiérrez 57'.

2 May 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig (2025/2026).

Scorers: Patrik Schick 25', Nathan Tella 45', Patrik Schick 76', Christoph Baumgartner 80'.

20 Dec 2025 — RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Xaver Schlager 35', Martin Terrier 40', Patrik Schick 44', Montrell Culbreath 90'.

25 Jan 2025 — RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).

31 Aug 2024 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Bayer 04 Leverkusen hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 2.6 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.