Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart: Result & Analysis

VfB Stuttgart beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 39%, Draw: 19%, VfB Stuttgart: 42%. Predicted scoreline was 2–3 (confidence 42%).

The model favours VfB Stuttgart (42%) away: they create 2.0 goals/game and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.4–2.5.

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart have met 5 times in the records we hold.

31 Oct 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ermedin Demirovic 14', Jamie Leweling 22', Patrik Schick 28', Bilal El Khannouss 51'.

9 May 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Aleix García 1', Ermedin Demirovic 5', Deniz Undav 58'.

10 Jan 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jamie Leweling 7', Jamie Leweling 45', Deniz Undav 45'.

16 Mar 2025 — VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).

1 Nov 2024 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 VfB Stuttgart (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings VfB Stuttgart hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.