Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05: Result & Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–3 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Borussia Mönchengladbach: 47%, Draw: 20%, FSV Mainz 05: 33%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 47%).

The model favours Borussia Mönchengladbach (47%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game and FSV Mainz 05 are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.3–1.9.

Head to Head

Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05 have met 5 times in the records we hold.

19 Sep 2026 — Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05 (2026/2027).

Scorers: Florian Neuhaus 11', Phillip Tietz 18', Sheraldo Becker 45', Isac Lidberg 59'.

19 Apr 2026 — Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 (2025/2026).

Scorers: Joe Scally 7'.

5 Dec 2025 — FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (2025/2026).

Scorers: Danny da Costa 58'.

7 Mar 2025 — Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 (2024/2025).

25 Oct 2024 — FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings FSV Mainz 05 hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Borussia Mönchengladbach winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.