Celta de Vigo 1–2 Osasuna: Result & Analysis

Osasuna beat Celta de Vigo 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Celta de Vigo: 51%, Draw: 28%, Osasuna: 21%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 51%).

The model favours Celta de Vigo (51%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and Osasuna are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.4–0.8.

Head to Head

Celta de Vigo and Osasuna have met 5 times in the records we hold.

27 Aug 2026 — Celta de Vigo 1–2 Osasuna (2026/2027).

Scorers: Iago Aspas  14', Kike Barja  54'.

6 Feb 2026 — Celta de Vigo 1–2 Osasuna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ante Budimir 35', Raúl García 79'.

26 Oct 2025 — Osasuna 2–3 Celta de Vigo (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ferran Jutglà 26', Ante Budimir 45', Ferran Jutglà 69', Pablo Durán 87'.

21 Feb 2025 — Celta de Vigo 1–0 Osasuna (2024/2025).

1 Sep 2024 — Osasuna 3–2 Celta de Vigo (2024/2025).

Scorers: Enzo Boyomo 21', Borja Iglesias 29', Carlos Domínguez 45', Abel Bretones 62'.

Over the last 5 meetings Osasuna hold the edge (2W · 0D · 3L), with Celta de Vigo winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Celta de Vigo vs Osasuna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Celta de Vigo vs Osasuna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.