Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Atlético de Madrid: Result & Analysis
Atlético de Madrid beat Deportivo Alavés 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Deportivo Alavés: 14%, Draw: 21%, Atlético de Madrid: 65%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 65%).
The model favours Atlético de Madrid (65%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game and Deportivo Alavés are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.7–1.9.
Head to Head
Deportivo Alavés and Atlético de Madrid have met 5 times in the records we hold.
10 Oct 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Atlético de Madrid (2026/2027).
Scorers: Alejandro Grimaldo 33', Cristian Romero 87'.
18 Jan 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Deportivo Alavés (2025/2026).
Scorers: Alexander Sørloth 48'.
30 Aug 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).
Scorers: Giuliano Simeone 7'.
3 May 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 0–0 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).
23 Nov 2024 — Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alavés (2024/2025).
Scorers: Jon Guridi 7', Antoine Griezmann 76', Alexander Sørloth 86'.
Over the last 5 meetings Atlético de Madrid hold the edge (0W · 2D · 3L), with Deportivo Alavés winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.6 goals per game.
Explore
More on Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético de Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético de Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.