Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia: Result & Analysis

Valencia beat Deportivo Alavés 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Deportivo Alavés: 38%, Draw: 28%, Valencia: 34%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 38%).

The model favours Deportivo Alavés (38%) at home: they create 1.0 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.2–1.2.

Head to Head

Deportivo Alavés and Valencia have met 5 times in the records we hold.

15 Sep 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia (2026/2027).

Scorers: Luis Rioja 78'.

8 Mar 2026 — Valencia 3–2 Deportivo Alavés (2025/2026).

Scorers: Javi Guerra 47', Lucas Boyé 71', Eray Cömert 90'.

20 Oct 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 0–0 Valencia (2025/2026).

14 May 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Valencia (2024/2025).

22 Dec 2024 — Valencia 2–2 Deportivo Alavés (2024/2025).

Scorers: Carlos Martín 7', Dani Gómez 90'.

Over the last 5 meetings Valencia hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Deportivo Alavés winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.