Derby County vs Southampton Prediction & Preview

Derby County face Southampton in the Championship. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Derby County: 41%, Draw: 22%, Southampton: 36%. Predicted scoreline: 1–1 (confidence 41%).

The model favours Derby County (41%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game and Southampton are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.8–1.7.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza (Southampton)

Yellow Card 0.5: 98% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 39 games); Goals 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 39 games); Assists 0.5: 77% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 39 games).

Joe Ward (Derby County)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Assists 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Dion Sanderson (Blackburn Rovers)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 38 games); Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 38 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 38 games).

Nathan Wood-Gordon (Southampton)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 37 games); Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 37 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 37 games).

Jacob Widell Zetterström (Derby County)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Rhian Brewster (Sheffield United)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 29 games); Assists 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 29 games).

Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Southampton)

Assists 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 43 games); Goals 0.5: 85% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 43 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 43 games).

See full Derby County vs Southampton predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.