Elche 2–3 Real Madrid: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Elche: 12%, Draw: 22%, Real Madrid: 66%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 66%).

The model favours Real Madrid (67%) away: they create 2.3 goals/game against Elche's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.6–1.8.

Head to Head

Elche and Real Madrid have met 3 times in the records we hold.

15 Sep 2026 — Elche 2–3 Real Madrid (2026/2027).

Scorers: Matías Dituro 25', Kylian Mbappé  33', Abiel Osorio  71', Fer Niño 83'.

14 Mar 2026 — Real Madrid 4–1 Elche (2025/2026).

Scorers: Antonio Rüdiger 39', Federico Valverde 44', Dean Huijsen 66', Manuel Ángel Morán 85'.

23 Nov 2025 — Elche 2–2 Real Madrid (2025/2026).

Scorers: Aleix Febas 53', Dean Huijsen 78', Álvaro Rodríguez 84', Jude Bellingham 87'.

Over the last 3 meetings Real Madrid hold the edge (0W · 1D · 2L), with Elche winning 0 of 3 and averaging 1.7 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Elche vs Real Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Elche vs Real Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.