Elche 0–1 Valencia: Result & Analysis

Valencia beat Elche 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Elche: 46%, Draw: 31%, Valencia: 23%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 46%).

The model favours Elche (46%) at home: they create 1.0 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.2–0.7.

Head to Head

Elche and Valencia have met 3 times in the records we hold.

1 Nov 2026 — Elche 0–1 Valencia (2026/2027).

Scorers: Umar Sadiq 69'.

11 Apr 2026 — Elche 1–0 Valencia (2025/2026).

Scorers: Lucas Cepeda 73'.

10 Jan 2026 — Valencia 1–1 Elche (2025/2026).

Scorers: Grady Diangana 75'.

Over the last 3 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 1D · 1L), with Elche winning 1 of 3 and averaging 0.7 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Elche vs Valencia: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Elche vs Valencia call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.