Elversberg 3–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Result & Analysis

Elversberg beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Elversberg: 43%, Draw: 18%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 39%. Predicted scoreline was 3–2 (confidence 43%).

The model favours Elversberg (43%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.6–2.4.

Head to Head

Elversberg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen have met 1 times in the records we hold.

29 Aug 2026 — Elversberg 3–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2026/2027).

Scorers: Lukas Petkov 8', Cole Campbell 9', David Mokwa 46', Patrik Schick 77'.

Over the last 1 meetings Elversberg hold the edge (1W · 0D · 0L), with Elversberg winning 1 of 1 and averaging 3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Elversberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Elversberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.