FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Result & Analysis

FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — FC Augsburg: 34%, Draw: 17%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 2–3 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (49%) away: they create 2.1 goals/game and FC Augsburg are leaking goals (2.2 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.6–3.1.

Head to Head

FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen have met 5 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2026/2027).

Scorers: Christian Kofane 18', Michael Gregoritsch 50', Michael Gregoritsch 55', Patrik Schick 89'.

18 Apr 2026 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg (2025/2026).

Scorers: Patrik Schick 12', Fabian Rieder 15'.

6 Dec 2025 — FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Dimitrios Giannoulis 6', Anton Kade 28'.

26 Apr 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg (2024/2025).

14 Dec 2024 — FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with FC Augsburg winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.