FC Bayern München 5–1 FC Köln: Result & Analysis

FC Bayern München beat FC Köln 5–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — FC Bayern München: 85%, Draw: 9%, FC Köln: 6%. Predicted scoreline was 3–0 (confidence 85%).

The model favours FC Bayern München (85%) at home: they create 2.8 goals/game against FC Köln's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 3.5–0.9.

Head to Head

FC Bayern München and FC Köln have met 2 times in the records we hold.

16 May 2026 — FC Bayern München 5–1 FC Köln (2025/2026).

Scorers: Harry Kane  10', Harry Kane  13', Said El Mala 18', Tom Bischof 22'.

14 Jan 2026 — FC Köln 1–3 FC Bayern München (2025/2026).

Scorers: Linton Maina 41', Serge Gnabry 45', Min-jae Kim 71', Lennart Karl  84'.

Over the last 2 meetings FC Bayern München hold the edge (2W · 0D · 0L), with FC Bayern München winning 2 of 2 and averaging 4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on FC Bayern München vs FC Köln: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every FC Bayern München vs FC Köln call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.