FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Köln: Result & Analysis

FC Union Berlin and FC Köln drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — FC Union Berlin: 40%, Draw: 30%, FC Köln: 30%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 40%).

The model favours FC Union Berlin (40%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game against FC Köln's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.2–1.0.

Head to Head

FC Union Berlin and FC Köln have met 3 times in the records we hold.

1 Nov 2026 — FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Köln (2026/2027).

Scorers: Janik Haberer 10', Malek El Mala 79'.

2 May 2026 — FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Köln (2025/2026).

Scorers: Marius Bülter 33', Said El Mala 61', Tom Rothe 73', Livan Burcu 89'.

20 Dec 2025 — FC Köln 0–1 FC Union Berlin (2025/2026).

Scorers: András Schäfer 90'.

Over the last 3 meetings FC Union Berlin hold the edge (1W · 2D · 0L), with FC Union Berlin winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.3 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.