Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta: Result & Analysis
Fiorentina and Atalanta drew 1–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Fiorentina: 49%, Draw: 20%, Atalanta: 31%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 49%).
The model favours Fiorentina (49%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game and Atalanta are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.3–1.8.
Head to Head
Fiorentina and Atalanta have met 5 times in the records we hold.
29 Oct 2026 — Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta (2026/2027).
Scorers: Charles De Ketelaere 41', Alieu Njie 53', João Mário 61', Nicola Zalewski 74'.
22 May 2026 — Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta (2025/2026).
Scorers: Roberto Piccoli 39', Pietro Comuzzo 82'.
30 Nov 2025 — Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina (2025/2026).
Scorers: Odilon Kossounou 41', Ademola Lookman 51'.
30 Mar 2025 — Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta (2024/2025).
15 Sep 2024 — Atalanta 3–2 Fiorentina (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Atalanta hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Fiorentina winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Explore
More on Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Fiorentina vs Atalanta call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.