Fiorentina 1–3 Como: Result & Analysis

Como beat Fiorentina 3–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Fiorentina: 17%, Draw: 20%, Como: 63%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 63%).

The model favours Como (63%) away: they create 1.8 goals/game and Fiorentina are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.1–2.2.

Head to Head

Fiorentina and Como have met 5 times in the records we hold.

18 Oct 2026 — Fiorentina 1–3 Como (2026/2027).

Scorers: Mattia Liberali 32', Nico Paz 36', Marin Pongracic 42', Marin Pongracic 45'.

14 Feb 2026 — Como 1–2 Fiorentina (2025/2026).

Scorers: Nicolò Fagioli 26', Fabiano Parisi 77'.

21 Sep 2025 — Fiorentina 1–2 Como (2025/2026).

Scorers: Rolando Mandragora 6', Marc Oliver Kempf 65', Jayden Addai 90'.

16 Feb 2025 — Fiorentina 0–2 Como (2024/2025).

24 Nov 2024 — Como 0–2 Fiorentina (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Como hold the edge (2W · 0D · 3L), with Fiorentina winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Fiorentina vs Como: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Fiorentina vs Como call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.