FSV Mainz 05 1–2 FC Bayern München: Result & Analysis
FC Bayern München beat FSV Mainz 05 2–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — FSV Mainz 05: 12%, Draw: 12%, FC Bayern München: 76%. Predicted scoreline was 1–3 (confidence 76%).
The model favours FC Bayern München (76%) away: they create 2.8 goals/game and FSV Mainz 05 are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.7–3.9.
Head to Head
FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München have met 5 times in the records we hold.
7 Nov 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 1–2 FC Bayern München (2026/2027).
Scorers: Joshua Kimmich 14', Jae-sung Lee 40', Lennart Karl 57', Phillip Tietz 90'.
25 Apr 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München (2025/2026).
Scorers: Dominik Kohr 15', Paul Nebel 29', Sheraldo Becker 45', Nicolas Jackson 53'.
14 Dec 2025 — FC Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 (2025/2026).
Scorers: Lennart Karl 29', Kacper Potulski 45', Jae-sung Lee 67'.
26 Apr 2025 — FC Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05 (2024/2025).
14 Dec 2024 — FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings FC Bayern München hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with FSV Mainz 05 winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.
Explore
More on FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.