Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05: Result & Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 beat Hamburger SV 5–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Hamburger SV: 55%, Draw: 19%, FSV Mainz 05: 26%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 55%).
The model favours Hamburger SV (55%) at home: they create 1.4 goals/game and FSV Mainz 05 are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.5–1.7.
Head to Head
Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 have met 3 times in the records we hold.
6 Sep 2026 — Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05 (2026/2027).
Scorers: Sheraldo Becker 19', Phillipp Mwene 41', Phillip Tietz 48', Phillip Tietz 83'.
20 Feb 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).
Scorers: Nadiem Amiri 42', Fábio Vieira 64'.
5 Oct 2025 — Hamburger SV 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 (2025/2026).
Scorers: Albert Sambi Lokonga 6', Rayan Philippe 9', Jean-Luc Dompé 52', Rayan Philippe 61'.
Over the last 3 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 1D · 1L), with Hamburger SV winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.7 goals per game.
Explore
More on Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.