Inter 3–2 Napoli: Result & Analysis

Inter beat Napoli 3–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Inter: 69%, Draw: 18%, Napoli: 13%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 69%).

The model favours Inter (69%) at home: they create 2.2 goals/game against Napoli's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.4–1.0.

Head to Head

Inter and Napoli have met 5 times in the records we hold.

5 Sep 2026 — Inter 3–2 Napoli (2026/2027).

Scorers: Matteo Politano 50', Rasmus Højlund 53', Lautaro Martínez  56', Marcus Thuram 82'.

11 Jan 2026 — Inter 2–2 Napoli (2025/2026).

Scorers: Federico Dimarco 9', Scott McTominay 26', Scott McTominay 81'.

25 Oct 2025 — Napoli 3–1 Inter (2025/2026).

Scorers: Scott McTominay 54', Frank Anguissa  66'.

1 Mar 2025 — Napoli 1–1 Inter (2024/2025).

10 Nov 2024 — Inter 1–1 Napoli (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 3D · 1L), with Inter winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Inter vs Napoli: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Inter vs Napoli call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.