Lazio 2–1 Cagliari: Result & Analysis

Lazio beat Cagliari 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Lazio: 85%, Draw: 10%, Cagliari: 5%. Predicted scoreline was 3–0 (confidence 85%).

The model favours Lazio (85%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game and Cagliari are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 3.1–0.6.

Head to Head

Lazio and Cagliari have met 5 times in the records we hold.

1 Nov 2026 — Lazio 2–1 Cagliari (2026/2027).

Scorers: M'Bala Nzola 20', Gustav Isaksen 36', Andrea Pinamonti 83'.

21 Feb 2026 — Cagliari 0–0 Lazio (2025/2026).

3 Nov 2025 — Lazio 2–0 Cagliari (2025/2026).

Scorers: Gustav Isaksen 65', Mattia Zaccagni  90'.

3 Feb 2025 — Cagliari 1–2 Lazio (2024/2025).

4 Nov 2024 — Lazio 2–1 Cagliari (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Lazio hold the edge (4W · 1D · 0L), with Lazio winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Lazio vs Cagliari: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Lazio vs Cagliari call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.